Predictive Site — Modeled Forecast

De Anza College — Predictive Second City

A 7-day, weather-driven modeled load and generation forecast for De Anza College (Cupertino, CEC CZ4) — a second campus alongside UC Davis. Predicted from a BigML load archetype, not observed.

Site: De Anza College Climate Zone: CZ4 Location: 37.3194, -122.045
Modeled forecast — not observed
Weather-driven (NWS) via a BigML load archetype; solar generation is modeled clear-sky; academic calendar not yet a model input; no ground-truth validation (De Anza telemetry access ended 2025-06-22).

A Second Campus, Forecast From Weather

This page renders a forward-looking 7-day forecast of campus electrical load and modeled solar generation for De Anza College — a second predictive site alongside the UC Davis campus that anchors TowerWatch. The forecast is produced entirely from a real NWS hourly weather forecast pushed through a BigML deepnet load archetype; solar output is modeled from clear-sky geometry.

Every number on this page is read live from the forecast JSON at load time, so re-running the forecast and re-staging the data updates the page with no code change.

Forecast At A Glance

Peak Load
 
Peak Generation (modeled)
 
Min Net (most solar overproduction)
 
Forecast Window
 
Model ID
BigML deepnet
Reading net load: net_kw = load_kw − gen_kw. Negative net (highlighted in green) means modeled solar generation exceeds campus load — the campus would, in the model, be a net exporter for that hour.

7-Day Hourly Load, Generation & Net

Hourly modeled load, modeled clear-sky generation, and net load across the 156-hour NWS forecast window. Times are local (America/Los_Angeles).

Site Location

De Anza College, Cupertino, California — the geographic anchor for the NWS forecast point.

How This Forecast Works

A real NWS hourly weather forecast for the De Anza site is turned into model features, scored by a BigML deepnet trained on the De Anza load archetype to predict gross campus demand. Solar generation is modeled separately from clear-sky irradiance and a fixed nameplate.

NWS Forecast
api.weather.gov hourly
Feature Build
OAT, GHI, HDD/CDD, hour, day-of-week, month, weekend
BigML Deepnet
deepnet
Predicted Load
campus_demand_kw (gross)

Load (campus_demand_kw) — the real output of the BigML deepnet, trained on De Anza itself (1:1 anchor, no enrollment scaling).

Generation — modeled, not measured: gen_kw = modeled_GHI(W/m²) × nameplate_kw / 1000 (STC) × availability_derate, capped at nameplate. Nameplate 1500 kW DC × availability derate 0.71.

Forecast Caveats & Limitations

The following caveats are pulled verbatim from the forecast artifact's notes[]. This is a modeled, unvalidated forecast — read every absolute kW value with these constraints in mind.

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